Not long ago , a litter of water at
an American supermarket was often more expensive than a litter of petrol at the
a gas station next door .
But not any more(1) .American's – along with everyone
else – will never a gain pay just 20$(2) per barrel , as they used to . The
reason for this is supply and demand :
supply can hardly keep up with demand . Global consumption is 85 M (3)barrels a day – and raising.
In the old day , nearly all the oil
that Americans used was American , but that(9) started to change in 1970(10) .
In that year(11) , production began decreasing , and
imports started increasing rapidly . New oilfields in Alaska
and the Gulf of Mexico have stopped the decline ,
but only temporarily . Scientists are still finding new oil around the world ,
but the search in getting harder .One day, (*1) global oil production will start
falling , just as it did(12) in American in 1970 . At that point(*2) , however , the world will not able
to turn to other new sources of
supply, (*3) as Americans did(*4) . There will be no other sources . When will that point(13) come ? the experts disagree . Some(14) say that global production will peak
in around 2040(15) and then start decreasing . Others(16) are much less optimistic . They expect the peak as
early 2016. (17)The exact year does not really matter
. The fact is that demand will soon get steadily greater than supply if we
continue as we are(18). And if that(19) happened , oil prices will explode. Scientists everywhere
are developing energy sources to replace oil though.
They(20) are doing this(21) first to reduce oil's pollution
emissions and the related global warming . they are also working to avoid that
disastrous energy gap .The oil alternative include hydrogen (H) fuel cells to
power our vehicles and ' renewable ' energy sources such as wind power . However , these energy sources cannot yet
provide the cheap , reliable energy in huge quantities that oil does(22) .The new technologies need more development time.
The potential energy gap therefore remains - and to fill it(23) we must make the oil last longer . That(24) means reducing the amount we use in various ways .
Take transport . People need to stop buying big thirsty vehicles and start
using smaller , more fuel- efficient cars instead . Better still , we should
instead use public transport where possible .
Best of all , shorter trips can be made by
bicycle or on foot .
From oil , we also get the
petrochemicals that give us thousand(25) of products – everything from paint
to plastic toys to cleaning products to medicines like aspirin . We will have
to limit our use of these(26), too. Clearly , all this means
difficult changes . The alternative could be much worse though.
. If a real
energy gap opened up , the world could collapse into economic and social
chaos . this(27) is
surely a route to avoid.
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